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The youth bulge in the population is a serious challenge given that they now form a bigger voter base. They remain unemployed and have only been used as ladders and exploited for their votes. The other challenges facing NRM are corruption and maintenance of a huge patronage unproductive administrative unit of it’s cadres including a huge debt burden.
NRM has shifted away from being possessed by the revolutionary zeal with a civic duty without clear notes that define it to a one-man-driven Party and back to the corruption temptations that befell the Obote 2 regime.
NRM is also a victim of its own success, and arrogance has crept in and spoiled the broth. This has made it lose touch with the reality that there is a poor service delivery and how the majority of Ugandans do not feel the rosy figures on economic growth.
Ugandans, especially the youths are going through hard times with the high cost of living. Voters are likely to vote for someone who will provide solutions to such challenges. The youth are not interested in listening to narratives of the past. For them, they would prefer to hear solutions to the challenges they face.
There are two competing narratives; transformation and political transition. The two speak to the population which increasingly is mindful of change. In 2026, I see it difficult for the NRM electoral-authoritarian system to implement its coercive manipulative mechanical usages to win elections, if Gen. Muhoozi appears and goes into an alliance with NUP.
I also see the President not giving up power to his son. I envisage a dangerous situation as a result of NRM’s refusal to make both internal reforms and reforms in the Constitution as recommended by the ruling of the Supreme Court.
NRM has refused to adapt to the new challenges over time and this can affect it because of the current unfolding situation happening on the political terrain. Many political developments happening now can reveal many things to happen in the future if the body politic is mishandled.
Paul Polly Mugoya, Concerned Citizen
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